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Nigeria says working hard to resolve gasoline crisis

In a chat with Nigerians from all walks of life on Sunday evening during the stopover, the Vice President noted that the Federal Government was moving as quickly as it could to solve the fuel crisis and reduce the difficulties Nigerians were facing as a result.

How Jonathan’s officials, cousin shared 27bln proceeds of PHCN sale -EFCC

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has narrated how top government officials under the administration of former president Goodluck Jonathan shared 27 billion, part of the proceeds of the sale of Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) in 2014.

- Nigeria unemployment rate climbs up

Four out of every ten people in Nigeria's workforce were unemployed or underemployed by the end of September, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Friday.

Why is Jerusalem important, what makes Donald Trump's intervention so toxic

What is the status of Jerusalem? Israel set up its parliament in West Jerusalem when the state of Israel was proclaimed in 1948. The move followed the United Nations’ vote to partition Palestine on the basis of the British pledge known as the Balfour Declaration that paved the way for a homeland for the Jewish people.

- Nigeria's dollar reserves at $34.53 bln as of Nov. 24

Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $34.53 billion as of Nov. 24, up nearly 3 percent from a month earlier, central bank data showed on Thursday. The bank did not provide a reason for the increase in reserves, which stood at $33.58 billion at the same date last month.

Wednesday 25 February 2015

South Africa trims growth outlook as power crunch takes toll

South Africa trimmed its growth forecast for 2015 to 2.0 percent on Wednesday as chronic electricity shortages strangled economic activity, and the Treasury said that projection could halve if power outages worsened.
"There is a risk that the economic effect will be even more pronounced," the Treasury said in its 2015 budget review. It also cut its growth projection for 2016 to 2.4 percent, but left its 2017 forecast at 3.0 percent.
"Electricity constraints hold back growth in manufacturing and mining and also inhibit investment," Finance Minister Nhlanhla Nene said in his 2105 budget, delivered against the backdrop of the worst power outages since 2008.
Nene also said moderation in wage increases was necessary to spur faster growth and create more jobs, a warning to public sector union Nehawu which is in talks relating to demands for increases way above inflation.
The Treasury forecast inflation at 4.3 percent for 2015, and then 5.9 percent in 2016 as falling oil prices boost disposable incomes. It forecast 5.7 percent for 2017.
Lower inflation would lay the foundation for economic growth, Nene said, announcing a raft of programs that will put jobs spending north of 38 billion rand ($3.3 billion) over the next few years.
The benefits of a lower oil price will, however, come against weakening global growth, with weak export demand from China and the eurozone and projected household income growth of only 2 percent, the Treasury added.

Friday 20 February 2015

Nigerian interbank rates rise on tight liquidity

 Nigerian overnight lending rates fell to an average 25 percent on Friday from a record high of 95 percent last week after the central bank retired about 100 billion naira ($502.77 million) in Treasury bills, dealers said.
Traders said the repayment of matured Open Market Operation Treasury bills provided some liquidity in the market but not sufficient to lower the rates further because the cash was used up by banks to buy Treasury bills and foreign exchange.
The secured Open Buy Back and Overnight rates fell to 25 percent each from 95 percent previously.
Nigeria sold about 142 billion naira in Treasury bills with maturities ranging between 3-month and 1-year this week.
The state owned energy company NNPC recalled some of its deposits with banks, cutting back on the level of available liquidity for transactions in the system.
Banks' cash balance with the central bank stood at around 4.8 billion naira credit on Friday, compared with a deficit of around 25 billion naira on Monday, traders said.
"We expect an increase in cash flow into the system next week because of possible disbursal of budgetary allocation for January to government agencies, and rates should fall below the 20 percent level," one dealer said.
The currency of Africa's biggest economy - and the continent's top oil producer - has lost more than 20 percent in the past three months as oil prices collapsed and concern grew among investors about political stability after the six-week postponement of the Feb. 14 elections.

Wednesday 18 February 2015

Nigeria fixes naira at 198/dollar in de facto devaluation


Nigeria's central bank scrapped its bi-weekly currency auctions on Wednesday and a market body said it would sell dollars only at 198 naira, unveiling a de facto devaluation of the currency of Africa's biggest economy and top oil producer.


FMDQ, a group comprising Nigeria's main commercial banks and the central bank, said commercial banks had also been banned from re-selling central bank dollars among themselves, another attempt to end speculation in the naira.

The currency has lost more than 20 percent in the last three months due to the collapse in oil prices and concerns about political stability after the six-week postponement of a Feb. 14 presidential election.

The auctions, known in Nigeria as RDAS, accounted for only 10 percent of FX transactions and the decision to abandon them amounted in real terms to the central bank ditching its 160-176 target band against the dollar, said Segun Agbaje, chief executive of GT Bank and a director of FMDQ.

"Yes, we will move the band," Agbaje said. "If demand in RDAS is only 10 percent, really the devaluation has happened."

Under the new rules, banks will only be able to purchase foreign exchange if they have a prior order from a corporate customer, such as a fuel importer or foreign mobile phone company looking to repatriate profits or dividends.

Any outstanding dollar demand at the end of each trading day will be met by the central bank at 198, FMDQ vice chairman Jubril Aku told a news conference.

"Starting from Friday the interbank market is order-based - essentially filling orders of customers," he said.

In a statement, the central bank did not stipulate the level at which it would sell dollars to the interbank market, but said it would continue to intervene "to meet genuine/legitimate demands".

Friday 13 February 2015

Nigerian central bank chief pleads for calm as naira tumbles

Nigeria's central bank chief said on Thursday there was "no need to panic" about a slide in the currency, after figures showed the bank had been burning through more than $110 million a day in a vain attempt to defend it.
The naira has crashed through the key level of 200 to the dollar this week in a rout sparked by weak oil prices and escalating tension over the postponement of a presidential election in Africa's biggest economy.
However, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor Godwin Emefiele said it was "appropriately priced" despite a nearly 25 percent slump against the dollar in the last three months, and investors should stay calm.
"We are not in the best of times but there's no need to panic," he told CNBC Africa in an interview. He ruled out an emergency Monetary Policy Committee meeting, and said floating the currency was not an option.
In the latest update on its reserves, the CBN said its stockpile of dollars had dropped to $33.4 billion as of Feb. 10, a decline of $1 billion in nine trading sessions since Jan. 28.
Dealers noted further intervention during chaotic trading on Wednesday and Thursday. On both days, leading banks triggered an agreed 'circuit-breaker' to halt electronic trading because of the pace of the naira's fall.
The latest reserves data marked a dramatic escalation in efforts to stabilise the naira from the CBN, which last year forked out an average $20 million a day to prop up the currency.
The naira ended Thursday at a new record closing low of 205.60 to the dollar, compared with the central bank's target range of 160-176.
"SOMETHING'S GOT TO GIVE"
Naira derivatives betting on the future level of the currency now point to it collapsing to around 280 to the dollar in a year.
The failure to stem the rout by tightening domestic liquidity or pumping dollars into the foreign exchange market piles even more pressure on Emefiele to devalue the currency for the second time in three months.
Most analysts had assumed this would happen soon after a Feb. 14 election, seen as a close race between President Goodluck Jonathan and ascetic former military ruler Muhammadu Buhari.
But that vote was postponed last week until March 28, ostensibly on security concerns, leaving Emefiele the unenviable choice of ploughing through billions more dollars of reserves in the next six weeks or taking huge political heat.
"You wonder how they're going to survive if you look at the pace reserves are falling," said Renaissance Capital analyst Yvonne Mhango in Johannesburg. "I don't entirely rule out something happening before March 28. Something's got to give."
BOND AUCTION FALLS SHORT
Nigeria relies on oil for 90 percent of its foreign exchange, and the currency started to come under pressure in early November when the impact of the collapse in world crude prices started to be felt.
In another worrying sign for Abuja, which is facing a funding crunch due to the decline in oil revenues, a domestic bond auction fell short of expectations on Thursday, raising only 76 billion naira out of an intended 90 billion.
The stock market has also come in for a pummelling, with the blue-chip NSE 30 Index dropping 2.7 percent on Thursday to its lowest in more than two years.
Weighing on both equities and the currency in the longer-term is the fear of prolonged political stalemate or constitutional crisis in Africa's most populous nation, whose economy has habitually suffered around election time.
This weekend's vote was delayed after security forces said they could not guarantee the safety of voters. That has led to speculation that the military, which has largely stayed out of politics for 15 years, might be slipping back into old habits.
On Wednesday, the army denied any involvement in politics or taking sides between Jonathan and Buhari.

Thursday 12 February 2015

Nigeria bond sale fails to meet target, investors seek higher yields

Nigeria's bond auction fell short of its target, attracting low interest among investors who were demanding higher yields in the wake of a weaker naira currency and falling oil prices.
Failure to reach its target is yet another worrying sign for the government, which is already facing a funding crisis due to the decline in oil revenues and escalating tension over its decision to push a Feb. 14 vote to March 28.
Nigeria raised 76.5 billion naira ($375.2 mln) at the bond auction on Wednesday, short of its target amount of 90 billion naira, the Debt Management Office (DMO) said on Thursday.
"Yields have gone up at the secondary market and many people expect that yields should be higher at the auction to compensate," one dealer said.
Total subscription stood at 123.6 billion naira, the debt office said, down from 129.5 billion last month.
A total of 34 billion naira was sold in 5-year bond at 15.54 percent. The 5-year paper was a fresh issue.
The 10-year bond was issued at 15.75 percent to fetch 25 billion naira, compared with 15.42 percent at the last auction.
The debt office said it sold 15.5 billion naira worth of 20-year notes at 15.85 percent, compared with 15.47 percent at the previous auction in January.
Investors asked for yields as high as 17.5 percent for the 5-year paper and as much as 19.9 percent for the 20-year bond, the debt office said.

Naira trade halted again as Nigeria rout intensifies

Electronic trading in Nigeria's naira was halted for the second day running on Thursday as the currency of Africa's biggest economy continued to crumple due to weak oil prices and escalating tension over this week's delayed election.
Shortly after triggering a self-imposed 'circuit-breaker' agreed among themselves last month, dealers said the central bank was ringing round trying to gauge their appetite for dollars in what is turning into a full-scale currency rout.
Amid the confusion, the naira was quoted at a new record low of 206.60 to the dollar, extending its slide since the start of November to nearly 25 percent.
The decline piles even more pressure on central bank governor Godwin Emefiele to devalue the currency for the second time in three months.
However, analysts say looming elections - a Feb. 14 vote has been postponed to March 28, ostensibly due to security concerns
are putting him in an impossible decision. So far, his main weapons to defend the currency have been to spend foreign reserves or tighten naira liquidity.
Naira derivatives betting on the future level of the currency point to it collapsing to around 280 to the dollar in a year's time.
Nigeria relies on oil revenues for 90 percent of its foreign exchange, and the currency started to come under pressure in early November when the impact of the collapse in oil prices started to be felt.
Emefiele officially devalued to 160-176 to the dollar at the end of November, but the naira immediately weakened beyond that range.
Its decline has accelerated over the last week as concerns have grown about a prolonged political stalemate or constitutional crisis in Africa's most populous nation.
The election commission postponed the vote because the security forces said they could not guarantee security, leading to speculation that Nigeria's armed forces, which has stayed out of politics for 15 years, might be slipping back into old habits.
On Wednesday, the army denied any involvement in politics and said it remained neutral in the electoral contest between President Goodluck Jonathan and challenger Muhammadu Buhari, a former military ruler.
In another worrying sign for the government, which is already facing a funding crisis due to the decline in oil revenues, a domestic bond auction failed to reach its target, selling only 76.5 billion naira, rather than the intended 90 billion.

Wednesday 11 February 2015

Nigeria overnight rate falls from record highs on liquidity boost

Nigeria's overnight interbank lending rate fell to 12 percent on Wednesday from the previous day's record high of 100 percent, after the central bank refunded naira to dealers who were unsuccessful at its dollar auction.
Dealers said a 30 billion naira budget allocation to some government agencies was also credited through the banking system, boosting liquidity.
Banks' balance with the central bank stood at a credit of 123 billion naira on Wednesday, from 52.3 billion naira in credit previous day.
The central bank has been tightening liquidity and intervening directly with dollar sales to commercial lenders to support the ailing naira, hit by falling oil prices.

Friday 6 February 2015

Nigerian bond yields seen up on election spending

NIGERIA, Africa's biggest economy hold presidential elections on Feb. 14 and spending by politicians to woo electorates could spill over into the fixed market.

"The expectation is that yields should be on the upward trend as we move toward election. We are expecting to see an increase in liquidity levels and some of it coming into the bond market," one dealer said.

Traders said secondary market trading remained subdued because of uncertainty around the election, while the initial buying of the 2024 tenor debt note by some lenders has declined.

Nigeria plans to raise 90 billion naira ($465.72 million) in sovereign bonds with maturities ranging between five and 20 years at its next regular auction on Feb. 11.

The 5-year debt note is a fresh issue, while the 10-year and 20-year bonds are re-openings of previously issued paper.

Traders said interest in the new issue could rise, while returns on the paper is expected to set the benchmark for the pricing of other bond tenors at the secondary market.

Yields on the 2016 debt note fell to 14.99 percent from 15.03 percent last week. The 2022 paper was trading at 15.21 percent against 15.20 percent, while the 2024 bond was trading around 15.21 percent against 15.06 percent last week.

Nigerian interbank rates rise on CRR withdrawal

Nigerian interbank lending rates climbed 6.5 percentage points on Friday to 15.75 percent on average from 9.25 percent last week, after the central bank debited commercial lenders' account to meet the banks' cash reserves requirement (CRR) this week.
Traders said the central bank withdrew about 167 billion naira ($861.7 mln) on Wednesday, draining liquidity.
Nigeria's central bank requires commercial lenders to set aside 75 percent of public sector and 15 percent of public sector deposits in liquid cash in their account with it. The regulator debit banks accounts every months to enforce this requirement.
Banks' cash balance with the central bank dropped to about 64.6 billion naira on Friday, compared with 393 billion naira last week.
"We see rates rising further next week due to anticipation of further liquidity drain from NNPC (the state-owned energy company) cash withdrawal and funding for bond sales," one dealer said.
The secured Open Buy back rose to 15.5 percent from 9 percent last week, 2.5 percent above the central bank's 13 percent benchmark interest rate.
The overnight placement also closed higher at 16 percent from 10 percent last week.

SPECIAL REPORT-Anatomy of Nigeria’s $20 billion “leak” -Reuters

By Reuters

In late 2013, Nigeria's then central bank governor Lamido Sanusi wrote to President Goodluck Jonathan claiming that the state oil company had failed to remit tens of billions of oil revenues it owed the state.

After the letter was leaked to Reuters and a local news site, Jonathan publicly dismissed the claim and replaced Sanusi, saying the banker had mismanaged the central bank's budget. A Senate committee later found Sanusi’s account lacked substance.

Sanusi has since become Emir of Kano, the country's second highest Islamic authority, and has smoothed over relations with the president. He declined to discuss his earlier assertions. Before he was sacked, though, the central banker submitted to Nigeria’s parliament more than 300 pages of documentation in support of his claim. Reuters has reviewed that dossier, which offers one of the most comprehensive studies of waste, mismanagement and what Sanusi called “leakages” of cash in Nigeria’s oil industry. Detailed here, the dossier includes oil contracts, confidential government letters, private presidential correspondence and legal opinions.

Sanusi’s letter and documents do not state whether he thinks the money was stolen or lost through mismanagement. Nor did he make allegations of illegal acts against any specific individuals or entities. Both corruption and bad governance are perennial problems in Africa’s most populous nation, and central issues in elections due on Feb. 14.

Nigeria’s oil industry accounts for around 95 percent of the country’s foreign exchange earnings. If Nigeria continued to leak cash at the rate described in his letter to the president, Sanusi said at the time, the consequences for the economy would be disastrous. Specifically, the failure of state-owned Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation “to remit foreign exchange to the Federation Account in a period of rising oil prices has made our management of exchange rates and price stability ... extremely difficult," he wrote. "The central bank of Nigeria is always blamed for high rates of interest,” but “given these leakages, the alternative is a devalued currency ... and financial instability."

That is exactly what has happened. As oil prices have plummeted to around $55 a barrel, half their level at the beginning of 2014, Sanusi’s successor Godwin Emefiele has devalued the naira, Nigeria’s currency, by 8 percent, and raised interest rates for the first time in more than two years.

Nigerian foreign exchange reserves are down around 20 percent on a year ago, while the balance in the country's oil savings account has fallen from $9 billion in December 2012 to $2.5 billion at the start of this year, even though oil prices were buoyant over much of that period. Finance Minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala told reporters at a press conference in November that a significant portion of that money was distributed to the powerful governors of Nigeria’s 36 states instead of being saved for a rainy day.

Nigerians are rarely shocked by stories of billions going unaccounted for, or ending up with politically powerful individuals. Africa’s largest oil producer has for years consistently ranked towards the bottom of Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index.

Sanusi handed his documents to a parliamentary inquiry set up last February to investigate the assertion in his letter that billions of dollars in oil revenue had not reached the central bank. He told the inquiry that state oil group NNPC had made $67 billion worth of oil sales in the previous 19 months. Of that, he said, between $10.8 billion and $20 billion was unaccounted for.

A spokesman for the president declined to comment on the specific contents of Sanusi’s dossier. He referred to a statement made at the time the banker was pushed out. It said the government “remains committed to ensuring integrity and accountability and discipline in every sector of the economy ... And indeed we look forward to a situation whereby Mr. Sanusi will continue to assist the legislature in their investigations.”

Those investigations include a “forensic audit” of the oil industry set up by Okonjo-Iweala. The audit was given to Jonathan on Feb. 2 and he said he would hand it on to Nigeria’s auditor general. NNPC said on Feb. 5 it had received a copy of the audit, before it was made public. The firm said the audit cleared it of wrongdoing, although it found NNPC owed the government $1.48 billion for a separate shortfall.

A spokesman for NNPC rejected Sanusi's allegations and referred Reuters to last August’s Senate inquiry. The inquiry expressed satisfaction that most of the money not remitted was withheld for legitimate reasons. But it urged the NNPC to remit $700 million that the committee said it could not account for.

Diezani Alison-Madueke, the oil minister who oversees NNPC, did not respond to a request for comment. She told the inquiry at the time that the correct sum for money not remitted was $10.8 billion, which was to pay for subsidies.

The NNPC has consistently said it did nothing wrong. The oil company said last year that Sanusi’s allegations came from his "misunderstanding" of how the oil industry works. The central bank is “a banking outfit ... how will they understand petroleum engineering issues?" then managing director Andrew Yakubu asked journalists. "They are not auditors."

Sanusi’s claims were seen by some Nigerians as part of the historic tensions between the country’s wealthy, Christian south and poorer Muslim north. Jonathan and oil minister Alison-Madueke are Christians from the oil-producing Niger Delta in the south. Sanusi is a Muslim from the country’s north, as is Muhammadu Buhari, a former military ruler of Nigeria who is the main presidential candidate running against Jonathan. The two regions have historically taken it in turns to hold the presidency. Since 2009, though, Jonathan has broken with this tradition.

Sanusi has said any notion there were religious or ethnic politics behind his allegations is absurd. He has declined to be interviewed since becoming the Emir of Kano.

But last April, two months after he was sacked but before he took on his new role, Sanusi told Reuters he worried that the sheer quantities of cash going missing were “unsustainable.”

“You are taking what doesn’t belong to you and transferring it to private hands,” he told Reuters. “The state is captive to vested interests.”



NO-BID CONTRACTS

Sanusi’s documents identify three key mechanisms through which Nigeria has allegedly allowed middlemen to channel oil funds away from the central bank. Among the recipients, Sanusi alleges, are government officials and high-flying society figures.

The three mechanisms are: contracts awarded non-competitively to two companies that did not supply services but sub-contracted the work; a kerosene subsidy that doesn’t help the people it is meant to; and a series of complex, opaque "swap deals" that might be short-changing the state.

Sanusi’s concerns around the first of these mechanisms centre on the 2011 sale by Royal Dutch Shell of its interests in five oil fields. The blocks were majority-owned by NNPC. The government, keen to end the domination of the oil industry by foreign oil majors, had been encouraging Shell and others to sell to local firms.

Shell sold its interest in the fields to companies in Poland and Britain. But the new owners did not get the same rights Shell had. To promote local control, the NNPC gave the right to operate the fields to its own subsidiary, the Nigerian Petroleum Development Company (NPDC).

Without soliciting bids, the NPDC signed "strategic partnership agreements" worth around $6.6 billion with two other local firms to manage them.

One firm, Seven Energy, signed for three fields; another, Atlantic Energy, for two.

Seven Energy was co-founded in 2004 by Kola Aluko, an oil trader and Christian southerner. Aluko also co-owned Atlantic with another southerner, former oil trader Jide Omokore. Atlantic was incorporated the day before it signed the deals.

Geneva-based Aluko is a high-profile member of Nigeria's elite. He owns a fleet of supercars, including a Ferrari 458 GT2 that he races with Swiss team Kessel Racing. He also owns a $50 million yacht, according to Forbes magazine, and divides his time between a $40 million home in Los Angeles, an $8.6 million duplex on Fifth Avenue in New York, and homes in Abuja and Geneva. A colleague describes him as a "work hard, play harder kind of guy. He’s extravagant. That’s just his style.”

Aluko, whose stake in Seven is now minimal, did not respond to emailed questions.

Omokore has also become rich from oil and gas. Forbes has estimated annual revenue at another of his companies, Energy Resources Group, at $400 million. His jet-setting lifestyle is a regular feature in the local press. Omokore could not be reached for comment.

Reuters has reviewed the contracts the firms signed with NPDC. They give Seven Energy 10 percent of profits in the three oil blocks it operates, while Atlantic gets 30 percent of profits in its two blocks. The contracts also show that, unlike Shell, neither firm pays royalties, profit tax or duties to the state.

Both companies quickly sub-contracted production work to other operators, according to Sanusi's submission to parliament and several market sources. The companies did not disclose terms of these contracts.

Atlantic does not publish accounts, but Seven’s 2013 annual report shows its deal with NPDC helped its revenue more than triple to $345 million.

In May 2013, Nigeria’s parliament threatened to investigate the NPDC contracts because they were not issued through competitive tender. But the NNPC argued no tender was needed because the contracts involved no sale of equity in the oil fields; the probe did not go ahead.

Sanusi did not accuse Seven and Atlantic of any illegalities, but he did question why the NPDC chose those companies. His report said the deals’ only purpose seemed to be “acquiring assets belonging to the federation (state) and transferring the income to private hands."

Asked about this, NNPC referred to the Senate report, which found that no-bid partnership agreements are not new. It also said that "it may be good policy to encourage indigenous players by giving them greater participation," but called for such deals "to be conducted in a transparent and competitive manner."

Seven did not comment. It says on its website its agreement with NPDC pre-dated the Jonathan administration and included an allowance for taxes. The company says it has invested more than $500 million, more than doubled production from its three blocks, and paid $48.8 million in taxes in 2013. Atlantic did not comment.


KEROSENE SUBSIDIES

The second mechanism Sanusi’s report identifies as problematic is a decades-old state subsidy provided to retailers of kerosene, the fuel most Nigerians use for cooking.

Nigeria lacks the refining capacity to make kerosene, so imports it instead. The government then sells the kerosene to retailers at a cheaper price than the import price. This subsidy is meant to make kerosene affordable for the poor. In reality, though, retailers have long hiked prices so consumers pay much more than official levels.

In June 2009, Jonathan’s predecessor, Umaru Yar'Adua, ordered a halt to the scheme on the grounds that it was not working. But the subsidies carried on regardless. The NNPC told parliament last February that it still deducts billions of dollars a year from its earnings to cover it.

In his report, Sanusi called the kerosene subsidy a "racket" that lines the pockets of private kerosene retailers and NNPC staff. The report estimated the cost of the subsidy at $100 million a month. It said kerosene retailers – there are hundreds of them around the country – routinely charged customers much higher prices than the government pays to import the fuel.

Sanusi’s report included an analysis of kerosene prices across Nigeria’s 36 states over two years. It found that the government buys kerosene at 150 naira per litre from importers and then sells it to retailers at just 40 naira per litre. Sanusi’s analysis found consumers pay an average of 170-200 naira per litre, and sometimes as much as 270 naira.

“The margin of 300 percent to 500 percent over purchase price is economic rent, which never got to the man on the street,” Sanusi wrote.

NNPC said in a statement last year that it can't force retailers to sell kerosene at the subsidised price.


SWAP DEALS

The third mechanism Sanusi identified involves other types of refined petroleum products, such as gasoline. Like kerosene, these are also imported. Nigeria is Africa’s biggest oil producer but it depends on imports for 80 percent of its fuel needs because its refining capacity is tiny.

To pay for the imported products, Nigeria barters its crude oil. Sanusi’s dossier focuses on these barter exchanges, which are known as "swap deals." The idea is that importers who bring in refined fuel worth a given amount receive an “equivalent value” in crude oil.

How that equivalent value is determined is unclear. Sanusi said he was uncertain how much, if anything, is lost in these deals. But he expressed concern at the sheer value of oil that changes hands and the lack of oversight. His report estimated that between 2010 and 2011, traders involved in swap deals effectively bartered 200,000 barrels of crude a day – worth nearly $20 million at average crude prices over the period
for a loosely determined equivalent value in refined products. It is impossible to tell, he said, if all the refined products were delivered, let alone if the terms were fair.

“It was clear to us that these transactions ... were not properly structured, monitored and audited,” he wrote.

Sanusi wrote in his report that mismanagement and “leakages” of cash in the industry cost Nigeria billions of dollars a year.

Since the price of oil has fallen by around half since the start of 2014, such losses are even more significant. As it approaches elections, Nigeria faces plummeting oil revenues and a lack of buffers to shield the economy. Construction projects are on hold and the government is struggling to pay its sizeable workforce.

Multiple scandals in the oil sector since Jonathan took power have boosted the popularity of his rival, former military leader Muhammadu Buhari. Remembered by some for deposing a civilian government in a 1983 coup and trampling on civil liberties, the sandal-wearing general often promises to "free Nigeria from corruption."

Jonathan, too, says he will “clean up” Nigeria. By using technology and strengthening institutions, “I will solve the problem of corruption in this country,” he told a crowd in Ibadan in January.

Thursday 5 February 2015

Nigeria naira recovers from record low as central bank steps in

Nigeria's naira recovered from a record low to end trading unchanged on Thursday, after the central bank sold dollars to prop up the local currency, dealers said.
The naira closed where it opened on Thursday, at 192.70 to the dollar. The currency had fallen to a record low of 194.65 shortly after the market opened, then recovered as the central bank stepped in. It had closed within a range of 190.10 to 192.40 the day before.
The central bank has been intervening almost daily in the interbank market since the start of the year. The naira has suffered as falling oil prices weaken Nigeria's economy, causing foreign investment to dwindle.
Dealers say dollar demand is significant on the interbank market, most of it from importers. Nigeria imports around 80 percent of what it consumes.
The naira has been trading outside a target of 160-176 to the dollar that the central bank set following a devaluation in November. It has continued its slide to record lows despite the bank's interventions.
Last month, the central bank doubled the amount it sells at weekly auctions to bureau de change agents to $30,000, to increase dollar liquidity. The bank said on Tuesday it would again sell $30,000 to each of more than 2,500 bureau de change operators on Friday.

IMF says its concerns about Ecobank have been addressed

The International Monetary Fund said in a report that poor governance and rushed growth at pan-African lender Ecobank pose serious concerns, but it said in an email on Thursday the concerns it referred to have been addressed.
The Fund made its comments about Ecobank, one of the largest financial institutions in sub-Saharan Africa, in a 98-page report issued on Wednesday about pan-African banks. Ecobank has a presence in 36 African countries and assets of $23 billion.
The report also said that Ecobank Nigeria's "relatively weak capital position remains a concern" and that rapid loan growth at the bank, which is a subsidiary of Ecobank Transnational Incorporated, raises suspicion of reckless lending.
Ecobank on Thursday challenged the portion of the report concerning it and said it contained inaccuracies and conveyed misperceptions.
Concerns about governance are a sensitive topic for Ecobank, which fired its Chief Executive Officer Thierry Tanoh last March after months of turmoil over corporate governance and wrangling between executives that damaged the bank's image.
Ecobank promoted Albert Essien to CEO to replace Tanoh and took steps to improve its own governance and elect a new board.
"The internal governance issues that (the IMF) refers to at Ecobank date back to a period of several months between mid-2013 and early 2014. The Ecobank Group dealt conclusively with those internal governance issues at the time," it said.
The IMF on Thursday called for the formation of a supervisory college for Ecobank to bring together individual country regulators but it appeared to soften the concerns it had stated in the report.
"IMF staff is also aware that the bank took a number of important and appropriate steps in late 2014 to address these concerns. We welcome these efforts," an IMF spokesman said in an email to Reuters.
The email said that Ecobank Nigeria had a relatively weaker capital position, relative to the new Basel III standards being introduced in Nigeria that raise bank capital requirements.
"The recent news of Ecobank plans to raise equity capital to meet the regulatory capital requirements in Nigeria are a step in the right direction," it said.
The bank is appealing a court decision last month in Ivory Coast to award Tanoh $15 million for defamation over a letter written prior to his dismissal. It is also appealing a Togolese court's award of $11.6 million to Tanoh for unfair dismissal.

Nigeria raises 192 bln naira in Treasury bills

Nigeria sold 192.39 billion naira worth of treasury bills with maturities of between three months and one year at lower yields compared with its previous auction, the Debt Management Office said on Thursday.
It said yields on the 3-month tenor paper attracted 10.98 percent at an auction on Wednesday, 0.22 percentage points lower than 11.20 percent fetched at the last auction on Jan. 21.
The yield on the 6-month paper fell 0.29 percent to 13.9 percent against 14.19 percent at the previous auction, while the 1-year paper fetched 14.30 percent, 0.26 percentage point lower than 14.56 percent at the Jan. 21 auction.
Total subscription fell to 461.91 billion naira compared with 611.2 billion demanded by investors at the last auction. The DMO sold 45.17 billion naira in the 3-month paper, 30 billion naira in the 6-month note and 117.22 billion naira in 1-year bills.

Wednesday 4 February 2015

Nigerian naira ends lower despite central bank intervention

Nigeria's naira ended weaker against the dollar on Wednesday despite the central bank selling U.S. currency towards the close of trading to boost liquidity.
The bank has been intervening almost daily in the interbank market since the start of the year as liquidity is very low due to depressed foreign investment as Nigeria's economy has been hit by plunging oil prices. That has sent the naira to record lows.
On Wednesday the bank intervened just minutes before the close of trade, sending dealers scrambling to buy dollars from the interbank market and getting different rates.
As a result, dealers quoted a closing range for the naira,
of 190.10 to 192.40 to the dollar, rather than a single rate.
Dealers were quoting the naira at 192.30 to the dollar just before the intervention. On Tuesday it closed at 189.15.
The naira has remained under pressure as the price of oil, Nigeria's main export has plunged. The currency has stayed well below a trading band of 160 to 176 to the dollar, set after the central bank devalued the naira by 8 percent in November.
Intervention to support the naira has also been aimed at curbing speculation.
On Tuesday the central bank said it would sell $30,000 to each of more than 2,500 bureau de change operators on Friday to increase dollar liquidity. Last month it doubled the amount it sells at weekly auctions to bureau de change agents to $30,000.
Dealers said Italian oil company ENI was also in the market on Wednesday, selling $24 million to some banks.

Tuesday 3 February 2015

Nigerian banks' syndicated borrowing stalls-source



Nigerian banks are pulling back from internationally syndicated dollar loans as falling oil prices and new regulation introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria late last year has pushed up borrowing costs, bankers said.

In contrast, international lenders already experiencing excess liquidity and lack of deal flow elsewhere in the CEEMEA region are still keen to lend to Nigerian banks, albeit on a more selective basis.

In December, the Central of Nigeria imposed new regulation on Nigerian banks which requires that banks with exposure to the oil and gas sector in excess of 20 percent of their total credit facilities will have to hold provisions of 125 percent against these assets.

"The Central bank is clearly trying to stop the occurrence of non performing oil & gas loans [in Nigeria] by imposing these hefty provisioning rules. It is not clear how long these rules will be in place, but they will deter Nigerian banks from borrowing at the moment," said one European banker.

As well as the higher cost of provisioning, Nigerian bank borrowers also face the prospect of higher pricing for dollar loans from international lenders which have become more cautious about lending into Nigeria.

"We did see some last minute flexing on the price of one deal at the end of last year after the liquidity for the deal changed," the banker said.

A combination these issues, including the devaluation of the naira which has also made the cost of local borrowing more expensive, means Nigerian banks are likely to steer clear of international dollar lending where possible -- at least in the short term, bankers said.

First Bank of Nigeria (FBN) sent out a request for proposals to international banks in December for a two- or three-year $300 million loan, but has subsequently not followed up on the request, two European bankers said.

FBN was not immediately available to comment.

"FBN does not desperately need this loan so it will hold back from borrowing in this environment. There will be fewer dollar deals for the next few months, if banks can afford to they will wait," another European banker said.

BAD TIMING

The situation in Nigeria has come at an inopportune time for some international lenders with an African focus, as they have been gearing up for a growth in the Nigerian syndicated loan market over the last few years.

Bankers had hoped that Nigeria would become the new African sweet spot, perhaps even taking over from South Africa as the main centre of African syndicated loan activity.

Nigeria expects economic growth this year to be 5.54 percent, down from an estimated 6.23 percent for 2014, after the government trimmed its expenditure following a slump in the price of oil.

Inflation in Africa's biggest economy is expected to rise this year to 8.78 percent, up from an estimated 8.0 percent last year, driven by the central bank's devaluation of the naira, which has been hit by the drop in the price of oil, Nigeria's main export.

There are $800 million of upcoming Nigerian bank loan maturities in 2015, according to Thomson Reuters LPC data.

They include loans from Ecobank Nigeria and First City Monument Bank, which both raised $150 million loans in October 2014 and December 2013, respectively. Those deals included Middle East as well as European and African banks.

"Nigeria has become a big focus for us we are still very keen to do deals there, but it is on a more selective basis, the credit has to stand up and be able to take stress on the oil price. There is a lot more credit concentration on underlying assets," the first European banker said.

A banker at a US investment bank said: "With all that is going on in the rest of CEEMEA banks have to continue looking at Africa including Nigeria -- we are still definitely open for business."