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Nigeria says working hard to resolve gasoline crisis

In a chat with Nigerians from all walks of life on Sunday evening during the stopover, the Vice President noted that the Federal Government was moving as quickly as it could to solve the fuel crisis and reduce the difficulties Nigerians were facing as a result.

How Jonathan’s officials, cousin shared 27bln proceeds of PHCN sale -EFCC

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has narrated how top government officials under the administration of former president Goodluck Jonathan shared 27 billion, part of the proceeds of the sale of Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) in 2014.

- Nigeria unemployment rate climbs up

Four out of every ten people in Nigeria's workforce were unemployed or underemployed by the end of September, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Friday.

Why is Jerusalem important, what makes Donald Trump's intervention so toxic

What is the status of Jerusalem? Israel set up its parliament in West Jerusalem when the state of Israel was proclaimed in 1948. The move followed the United Nations’ vote to partition Palestine on the basis of the British pledge known as the Balfour Declaration that paved the way for a homeland for the Jewish people.

- Nigeria's dollar reserves at $34.53 bln as of Nov. 24

Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $34.53 billion as of Nov. 24, up nearly 3 percent from a month earlier, central bank data showed on Thursday. The bank did not provide a reason for the increase in reserves, which stood at $33.58 billion at the same date last month.

Monday, 30 November 2015

Nigeria's Ecobank raise closes $170 mln loan

Nigeria's unit of Ecobank Transnational Incorporation (ETI) has signed a $170 million loan, marking only the second internationally syndicated loan this year for a Nigerian bank, as depressed oil prices bite into the country’s liquidity. 
Standard Chartered acted as sole coordinator and documentation agent on the deal, which raised $20 million more than the borrower's inaugural $150 million October 2014 facility that it refinances.despite the adverse market conditions,
Ecobank also managed to attract four new lenders into the syndicate group, but pricing on the deal was hiked to 525 basis points over Libor, up 100 basis points from the 425 basis points margin paid on last year's loan. The bank had initially hoped to raise $200 million but lowered the target amount to $150 million at launch.
“Ecobank 's goal was $200 million before launch but we felt that $150 million was more reflective of what was available in the Nigerian market. It’s a difficult market,” said Charles Corbett, managing director, loans syndication at Standard Chartered.
Ecobank had also initially hoped to build on last year's success by reducing pricing and extending the tenor on the second loan, said Corbett.“The margin is higher than Ecobank paid on its previous deal, but the bank was very mature when approaching its lenders. It is extremely rare for a Nigerian bank borrower to come to the market this year and Ecobank did not want to push beyond what is acceptable in this market, which is reflected in the success of the deal. They called it correctly,” says Corbett.
Commerzbank, First Gulf Bank, Mashreqbank and Standard Chartered Bank were mandated lead arrangers and bookrunners. African–Export Import Bank was mandated lead arranger, while BMCE Bank International acted as lead arranger. British Arab Commercial Bank, Ghana International Bank and SMBC acted as arrangers, with Banque Libano-Francaise as lead manager. Commercial Bank of Qatar, which contributed US$10m to the 2014 facility, did not participate in the new deal reflecting how the squeeze on Middle Eastern liquidity is having a knock on effect in other regions. However, the slack was taken up by the four new lenders to the group -- Afreximbank, GIB, SMBC and Banque Libano-Francaise.Ecobank Nigeria’s managing director, Mr Jibril Aku said: “The transaction is driven by a need to have longer-term funding available for corporate clients. We appreciate the confidence that the international markets have in Ecobank Nigeria, backed by our strong reputation in the country and across the continent. It proves our strategy works.” 
The only other loan for a Nigerian bank agreed this year was First City Monument Bank's US$77m deal that signed in November.Ecobank, a subsidiary of Togo-based Ecobank Transnational Incorporated has a customer base of over seven million people and is listed on the Lagos, Accra and Abidjan stock exchanges

Thursday, 26 November 2015

Nigeria naira firmer on unofficial market as c.bank tightens forex rules

The Nigerian naira strengthened 2.1 percent to 235 per dollar on the unofficial market on Thursday after the central bank moved to enforce documentation requirements on bureau de change operators prior to dollar sales, traders said.
Dollars

In a circular seen by Reuters on Thursday, the central bank asked all bureau de change (BDCs) operators to submit accounts showing their dollar usage at the start of each week before they can access future sales, a move traders say was aimed at curbing speculation.
The naira had fallen sharply on Wednesday, a day after the central bank unexpectedly cut interest rates to stimulate lending in Africa's biggest economy, traders said.
The currency was quoted at the pegged rate of 197 naira on the official interbank market on Thursday.
"It has been observed that a good number of bureaux de change purchased foreign exchange from the central bank without rendering returns on their utilisation," the bank said
The central bank has introduced currency controls to stop the naira weakening, defying calls to further devalue the currency hard hit by the plunge in global crude prices.
The bank asked BDCs to immediately return all forex bought at its Wednesday auction without documents to show how they used previous purchases. It cut dollar supply to BDCs last week to conserve its dwindling foreign exchange reserves.

Wednesday, 25 November 2015

Oil falls as spotlight returns to glut, dollar up

Crude oil futures fell back towards $45 per barrel on Wednesday as the dollar gained and investor focus shifted back to a deep global supply glut.
Brent was down 94 cents at $45.18 a barrel at 1241 GMT, having touched a low of $45.11.
The benchmark hit its highest since Nov. 11 at $46.50 on Tuesday after Turkey shot down a Russian jet. It had risen for five consecutive days, its longest run of positive sessions since April.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures fell 78 cents to $42.09 a barrel, having gained $1.12 to $42.87 on Tuesday.
An oil rig

Data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday showed that U.S. crude stocks rose by 2.6 million barrels in the week to Nov. 20, more than double analysts' expectations for an increase of 1.2 million barrels.
"Inventories surprised on the upside and it will draw back attention to the supply that hangs over the market," said Hans van Cleef, senior energy economist at ABN Amro in Amsterdam.
A gain in the dollar, which rose to an eight month high against a basket of currencies, also weighed on prices as oil, priced in the U.S. unit, became less affordable to holders of other currencies.
The API data came ahead of figures from the Energy Information Administration, due at 1530 GMT (1030 EST) and expected to show crude oil stocks rose for a ninth consecutive week.
OPEC is determined to keep pumping oil vigorously despite the resulting financial strain -- even on the policy's chief architect, Saudi Arabia -- alarming weaker members who fear that prices may slump further towards $20.
President Tayyip Erdogan said on Wednesday that Turkey did not want any escalation of tension over the downing of the Russian warplane, and that it had acted simply to defend its own security and the "rights of our brothers" in Syria.

AfDB chief says Africa needs to manage budgets carefully

African countries will have to manage their finances carefully to repay dollar debt raised in recent years as weak currencies push up servicing costs and oil and commodity revenues tumble, the new head of the African Development Bank said.
Image result for Akinwumi Adesina/picture
Adesina

From oil-rich Nigeria and copper producing Zambia to fast-growing Rwanda and Ghana, African nations have taken advantage of historically low yields and strong investor appetite to issue Eurobonds or raise other funds on international markets.
Africa's foreign currency bond issues between 2000 to 2014 totalled $20.5 billion, with $7.4 billion of that raised in 2014 alone, Akinwumi Adesina, who took over as president of the 50-year-old AfDB in September, told Reuters in an interview.
"You are going to be financing high-cost debt using a devalued currency -- it just means it is more difficult for you to finance your debt," he said in Addis Ababa late on Tuesday.
"One does have to make sure that it is within sustainable debt limit. We have to manage our finances well."
An expected interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve has strengthened the dollar globally and hit emerging market currencies, including in Africa, where many governments are also feeling the squeeze from low commodity and oil revenues.
A development economist with a doctorate from Purdue University in the United States, 55-year-old Adesina was elected in May to head the Ivory Coast-based institution for five years.
In Addis Ababa for talks with African Union Commission head Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma and Ethiopian Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, he urged African states to manufacture more rather than rely so heavily on volatile raw commodity exports.
"I personally believe that the way to address this is to first and foremost make sure that African countries stop exporting primary commodities. I have not seen any country in the world that has prospered from this," he said.
"African countries need to develop value chains whether it is in oil and gas, minerals or metals, or whether it is agriculture - everything that Africa has," he added.
Adesina said greater trade within Africa, which now stands at 10 percent of total trade on the continent, would help reduce exposure to global fluctuations.

Nigeria to raise 129 bln naira in Treasury bills

Nigeria plans to raise 129.17 billion naira ($649.10 million)worth of local currency denominated treasury bills with maturities range of 3-month and 1-year on Dec. 2, the central bank said on Wednesday.
The bank said it will issue 17.85 billion naira worth in the 3-month paper, 18 billion naira in the 6-month paper and 93.32 billion naira in the 1-year bill, using the Dutch Auction System.
Yields on Nigeria's bonds fell below 10 percent across maturities as trading started on Wednesday, traders said, a day after the central bank announced a surprise interest rate cut aimed at stimulating lending in Africa's biggest economy.
Traders said they are expecting lower returns on the short-date paper at the auction next week in tandem with the prevailing trend in the secondary market.

Nigeria's northern Zamfara state sells 7 bln naira bond at 17 pct

Nigeria's Zamfara State has issued a seven-year bond at a fixed rate of 17 percent to raise 7 billion naira ($35 million) for infrastructure projects, the lead issuing house FBN Capital said on Wednesday.
The northwestern Nigerian state, which relies on agriculture launched a 30 billion naira debt programme to help it develop its infrastructure, its advisers said, adding that the first tranche was underwritten on a standby basis.
Bond yields fell below 10 percent across maturities as secondary market trading started on Wednesday, a day after the central bank announced a surprise interest rate cut aimed to stimulate lending in Africa's biggest economy
In August and September, Nigeria's Debt Management Office restructured commercial bank loans to 13 cash-strapped states to reduce a growing backlog of domestic debt against falling oil revenues.
In June a governor said that Nigerian states were in debt to the tune of 658 billion naira ($3.3 billion).
Several borrowed in the domestic bond market and from banks to fund infrastructure projects. But as the price of crude oil, which represents 70 percent of the country's revenues, has plunged, states became unable to pay their bills, including salaries.

Ghana producer inflation falls to 2.8 pct in October

Ghana's producer price inflation fell to 2.8 percent in October from a revised 4.8 percent in September, continuing a downward trend, the statistics office said on Wednesday.
Image result for ghana flag colors
Ghana flag

The fall reflects apparent progress for the West African country in stabilizing inflation.
"The easing effect came mainly from the manufacturing of petroleum and coke which registered a significant price decline," Ghana's acting deputy statistician Anthony Amuzu said.
Year-on-year producer inflation for the mining and quarrying sub sector stood at 8.7 percent, manufacturing was at 1.0 percent and utilities 5.3 percent, he told a news conference.
Ghana is following an International Monetary Fund aid programme to resolve problems that include consumer inflation persistently above target. Consumer price inflation stood at 17.4 percent in October.
Once among Africa's fastest growing economies, growth in the gold, cocoa and oil exporting country has slumped due to lower global commodity prices and a fiscal crisis that has seen its debt-to-GDP ratio rise to more than 70 percent.

AfDB Group signs loan agreement with Nigeria's LAPO Microfinance Bank

The African Development Bank Group (AfDB) and LAPO Microfinance Bank Ltd. signed a loan agreement for Nigerian Naira 2.364 billion (approximately $12 million) on November 17, 2015 to support inclusive growth in Nigeria and also support local SMEs in the country.
LAPO MfB is the largest microfinance bank in Nigeria with 1.1 million clients and 327 branches currently operating in 26 out of 36 states in the country. Given its history of a group-lending model based on a community-based approach, LAPO predominantly focuses on low-income households and women (with females comprising over 90 percent of its total client base) by providing an average loan size of $190.
The corporate AfDB loan will support a proposed expansion project of LAPO MfB to achieve its goal to serve 5 million clients by 2017 in Nigeria focusing on low-income individuals (predominantly women) and micro/small enterprises by providing affordable access to finance, saving, credit and insurance in urban and rural areas as well as by expanding its geographic coverage and number of branches. With AfDB's funding, multi-faceted development outcomes are expected for LAPO MfB to: (i) increase the proportion of poor households and small businesses with access to financial services in Nigeria; (ii) deepen its financial sector infrastructure, as it plans to expand their branch network across the country; (iii) promote an inclusive microfinance model that works for the poor; (vi) stimulate product development aimed at meeting diverse needs of low-income households and local enterprises including a soft loan scheme to provide clients a more convenient and safe lighting (solar power lanterns); (v) enhance financial inclusion of women and female entrepreneurs; and (vi) support increased revenue of poor households involved in profitable micro-enterprises and also generate more jobs across states in Nigeria.
In spite of its lower-income client base, LAPO's total loan portfolio exceeded USD 200 million in December 2014 thanks to its efficient decentralized banking model as well as wide coverage and deep penetration of rural areas. LAPO has successfully achieved its goal to reach over 1 million clients by end of 2013, faster than planned, and targets to reach 5 million clients by the end of its five-year business plan (2013-2017). LAPO has 3,184 staff (1,311 men and 1,873 women staff) across 327 branches to prospect for new business and effectively serve its existing customers on the ground.



Why Nigeria's rate cut may not yield right results - NKC African Economics

The policy committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) convened on Tuesday, and defied our expectation by loosening the monetary policy stance.
The growthoriented monetary regulator opted to cut the policy rate by 200 bps to 11%, stating that “we must stimulate growth.” In addition, the interest rate corridor was widened to 700 bps below the policy rate, and 200 bps above the policy rate.
While the strong emphasis on economic growth does not come as a surprise – CBN Governor Godwin Emefiele’s tenure was kicked off with controversial growth-oriented policy decisions – we expected an adjustment in the cash reserve requirement as the avenue via which the central bank would loosen policy.
We continue to view the risks to inflation as tilted to the upside. As we stated previously, we are not in favour of stimulating growth by merely easing liquidity conditions under an inefficient trade channel.

Nigeria bond yields fall below 10 pct after central bank rate cut

Yields on Nigeria's bonds fell below 10 percent as markets opened on Wednesday, traders said, a day after a surprise central bank interest rate cut.
Bond yields had traded above 11 percent across maturities on Tuesday, with the benchmark 20-year bond trading at 12.30 percent.

Tuesday, 24 November 2015

Why Nigeria's Cbank lower interest rate - bankers

The central bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Tuesday lowered its benchmark interest rare to 11 percent from from 13 percent, the first of such in six years, bankers said the decision to cut rate was already anticipated in view of prevailing market condition, but were surprised by the 200 basis points slashed.
Emefiele, CBN boss 

Interbank interest rate has eased to a new low of one percent for overnight lending due to the injection of liquidity into the banking system in the wake of early cut in cash reserves requirements (CRR) by the central bank at its September monetary policy  committee (MPC) meeting.
However, bankers said the cut in the central bank benchmark interest rate was informed by arbitraging going on in the market due to the disparity between the previous benchmark rate and interbank market rate.
Some banks have been taking funds at one percent at the interbank market and place same with the central bank at 11 percent, taking advantage of the wide margins between the benchmark rate and prevailing market rate.
The central bank also announced a changed in the corridor around its benchmark interest rate from hitherto +/-200 basis point to +200 basis points above and -700 basis point below the new rate.
"The central bank changed the corridor around the benchmark interest rate as a result of the activities of some banks that have been arbitraging on the central bank. Some banks will borrow at 1 percent at the interbank and lend to the central bank at 11 percent, making a kill," a money market dealer told our reporter on Tuesday.
The implication of the new rule is that the central bank can only take funds from banks at 4 percent and lend to them at 13 percent.
The central bank Governor, Godwin Emefiele also confirmed the arbitraging going in in the market at the briefing on Tuesday.
Emefiele said fresh liquidity from the cash reserve rate cut would only go to banks that were ready to channel it into "employment generating activities" such as infrastructure projects, the agricultural and minerals sectors.
He rapped those banks which had used a cut in the cash reserve ration in September to invest in bonds rather than lend to households and businesses.

According to Emefiele, "Unfortunately what we have found out is that rather than banks redeploying that liquidity... what the banks do is just dump their money on CBN (the central bank) and earn 11 percent - and I use the words - for doing nothing," Emefiele said.










Nigeria central bank cuts benchmark interest rate from 13 to 11 pct - governor

Nigeria’s central bank unspectedly at its MPC meeting on Tuesday slashed its benchmark interest rate to 11 percent from 13 percent in its bid to boost lending to real sector of the economy and growing employment in the economy.
The bank said members of the rate-fixing Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 8 against 2 in favour of the reduction in lending rate.
Godwin Emefiele, who announced the measure at the end of the two day meeting said the  corridor around the MPR has been adjusted to +200 above and -700 points below the benchmark rate, meaning the regulator will borrow from commercial lender at 4 percent and lend to them at 13 pct.

The regulator also cut the cash reserves requirement to 20 percent from 25 percent, saying it will only released funds from such cut to banks that are willing to lend to the productive sector of the economy.

Iran's president calls for closer ties with Bolivia, Nigeria, Algeria

Iran's President Hassan Rouhani held separate meetings with visiting presidents of Bolivia and Nigeria and Algeria's prime minister, calling for expansion of ties between Tehran and the three countries, Rouhani's official website president.ir reported on 24 November.
In his meeting with Bolivian President Evo Morales, the Iranian president said that Tehran is prepared to boost relations with Caracas in all areas.
President Buhari

"Iran and Bolivia have the necessary political will to enhance their relations in all areas including economy, science, trade, culture, energy, health care, and investment," Rouhani said.
Rouhani added that the two countries can boost their cooperation in line with the interests of producers and consumers of energy.
Iran prioritizes expansion of ties with African countries, Rouhani said in his meeting with Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari.
"Tehran and Abuja have great potential for expansion and deepening of mutual cooperation, which should be exploited in line with the interests of the two countries, nations and the region more than ever particularly at this juncture and after [the removal of anti-Iran] sanctions," Rouhani said.
Rouhani added that Iran and Nigeria share a common view on regional issues and fight against terrorism, saying that "Iran is ready to transfer its experiences in this regard to friendly countries including Nigeria".
In his meeting with Algerian Prime Minister Abdelmalek Sellal, the Iranian president said the current relations between the two countries are not at a "satisfactory level", adding that the private and state sectors should redouble their efforts to improve mutual economic ties.
"Iran and Algeria enjoy cultural, economic, and political affinities that can be used to pave the way for the expansion of relations between the two countries," Rouhani said.
Sources: president.ir, Tehran, in Persian, 0948 gmt 24 Nov 15; president.ir, Tehran, in Persian 0832 gmt 24 Nov 15; president.ir, Tehran, in Persian 0816 gmt 24 Nov 15

* BBC Monitoring Service

South Africa's Eskom says not 'desperate' to issue global bond

South Africa's utility Eskom is not desperate to raise money through the sale of international bonds, its chief executive said on Tuesday, as the firm has enough funding to build its new coal-fired power stations.
Power grid

Eskom, which reported a 22 percent rise in half-year profit, is building the coal-fired Kusile and Medupi power stations to ease an energy crunch in Africa's most advanced economy.
"We don't have to do a global bond issue. We will do a bond issue when market conditions are right," state-owned Eskom's CEO Brian Molefe told reporters.
"We will go into the market but not in a desperate fashion."
Eskom said last week it could raise up to $1 billion through an international bond but did not give a time line.
Debt rating agency Standard & Poor's cut Eskom's credit ratings to junk in March, which could raise its borrowing costs.
Eskom had secured funding of 46 billion rand by the end of the six-month period to September against a year-end target of 55 billion rand, the company said in a statement on Tuesday.
The government had also provided a further 10 billion rand in equity, with an additional 13 billion rand expected by March 2016, the company said.
South Africa's rand has fallen sharply this year, making it tougher to pay back debt denominated in dollars and Eskom said in September it can fund its new power stations without borrowing from the markets.
The utility, unpopular among South African consumers after introducing regular power cuts late last year to prevent the grid from collapsing, said that it had more room for maintenance since the first unit of the Medupi power station started contributing electricity earlier this year.
Eskom will conclude talks with Anglo American over coal supply to its Kusile power station in the next three months, group executive Matshela Koko said on Tuesday. The plant is still to be completed.
South Africa's GDP contracted in the second quarter of this year with power supply issues cited as one of the reasons manufacturing struggled.
Over the past 3 months power cuts were limited to only a few hours in total, compared to daily, allowing growth to recover in the third quarter.



Monday, 23 November 2015

Nigerian naira eases on parallel mkt after cbank cut dollar supply-traders

Nigeria's naira currency eased 2.17 percent against the dollar on the parallel market on Monday after the central bank cut dollar supply to bureaux de change operators in a bid to conserve forex reserves, traders said.
The local currency traded at 235 to the dollar on the parallel market compared with 230 a dollar on Friday, but remained unchanged at 197 to the dollar on the official interbank market.
"The central bank has reduced the amount of dollar sold to bureaux de change at its twice-weekly intervention, which has also been cut to once a week now," Harrison Owoh, a bureau de change operator said.
He said the reduction in volume of dollar sales by the central bank coupled with year-end surged in demand for foreign currencies by importers have impacted negatively on the local currency.

Nigeria MPC meeting: Why we support retention of MPR at 13 pct - NKC Africa

The Nigerian financial system has been awashed with liquidity since the end of September. The excess system liquidity is partially attributable to large redemptions of open market operation (OMOs) instruments (without adequate new issuance to absorb the excess liquidity) and a reduction in the Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) in September. The additional liquidity that flooded the market sent the overnight lending rate plunging, according to Reuters data. The fact that the apex bank has since not moved to mop up excess liquidity has prompted analysts to speculate whether this in fact represents a shift in policy, aimed towards spurring credit extension to revive the Nigerian economy. That said, corporate investors soon took advantage of the situation and climbed into government securities which saw yields dip sharply at the October and November primary market auctions.
Dollars
While the situation remains somewhat uncertain, it is hard to argue against the notion that this represents a deliberate shift in policy. Meanwhile, while we previously reported that Abuja approved roughly $2.1 billion worth of fuel subsidy payments to fuel marketers, it now seems that the funds have yet to be disbursed as the payment needed to gain approval from Parliament – this was reportedly not a requirement in the past.
President Muhammadu Buhari subsequently requested Parliament to approve a supplementary budget worth N465 billionn to cover the subsidy payments and to provide additional funding for the fight against Boko Haram. A report in local newspaper, the Sun on November 20, showed that the passage of the additional funding has hit a road bump as the ruling All Progressive Congress (APC) and the opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) locked horns on the issue. In the interim, queues at the pump have been growing longer and a certain level of panic-buying has been reported in some areas. Meanwhile, according to another local newspaper, Vanguard, progress on the 2016 fiscal budget has been slow, and the National Assembly is still awaiting the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), which is reportedly required to be submitted for approval no later than 90 days before the end of the year. A member of the House of Representatives, Chike Okafor, stated: “What the law says is that 90 days before the end of the fiscal year, we should have the medium term expenditure framework in place, we don’t have it, so what does it portend, we are already running into a crisis with respect to the 2016 budget.”

Meanwhile, the naira held steady under the rigid exchange rate regime on Friday. This week will see the convention of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), at which time we expect the committee to maintain the policy rate at 13 percent, although we may see an adjustment in the cash reserve requirement. Excess liquidity has driven overnight rates substantially lower since the end of September, which has not elicited liquidity absorption from the central bank. We therefore presume that the growth-oriented regulator may intend the resultant growth in monetary aggregates to stimulate sluggish economic growth. While some analysts expect a cut in the policy rate (presumably due to weak economic growth, and some reprieve in inflation recently), we view the risks to the inflation outlook as skewed to the upside, and therefore supportive of maintenance of the benchmark rate. Liquidity management has been quite erratic at times this year, with overnight rates surging in cycles of liquidity drought and plummeting on liquidity injections. We do not hold high hopes that the regulator will provide (useful) forward guidance with regard to the normalisation of artificial liquidity conditions and loosening of restrictions on two-way trading. Recent actions by the central bank however just affirmed our view that the central bank will keep the order-based system in place for as long as possible. The negative spillover to economic growth and FDI could however move the regulator’s hand to adjust the naira weaker to N220/$ by mid-2016, with risks tilted to a shorter timeline to a devaluation. In the interim, a clampdown on forex liquidity and growing waitlist period to acquire forex via the legitimate route will see more demand funnelled via the black market.

Saturday, 21 November 2015

Mitsubishi Motors plans Nigerian assembly plant in next year-executive

Mitsubishi Motors Corp expects to open an assembly plant in Nigeria in the next year, joining the growing list of carmakers setting up local assembly plants in the west African nation, the Japanese group's regional head told Reuters.
"It's still in negotiation - you can say in the third round out of 10," Anand Singh, the regional head in west Africa, said. "We have identified the land. Now we are waiting for some clearances from customs, finance ministry ... so that's the status."
Analysts say the auto market in Africa's biggest economy has huge potential.
Only a small number of new vehicles are sold annually as the market has hitherto been dominated by secondhand imports.
However, along with the threat of imposing prohibitive import duties the government has been pushing for the development of local production under a National Automotive Industry Development Plan, with the industry ministry having ordered local car distributors last year to come up with plans for new assembly plants.
It was then up to the local companies to partner with a foreign car producer, Singh told Reuters.
Earlier this week Ford Motor Co announced the opening of its new Nigerian plant, its first in Africa outside South Africa, through dealer Coscharis Motors Ltd.
Germany's Volkswagen AG also resumed local assembly operations in July, with local partner Stallion Group, after a 20-year hiatus, while Honda announced in July the start of local production for its Accord car.
President Muhammadu Buhari, who is keen to promote a "Made in Nigeria" industrial policy, also met this week with French carmaker Peugeot's executive vice president for Africa and the Middle-East, Jean-Christophe Quemard, to discuss the revival of local production, Buhari's office said.

Friday, 20 November 2015

Nigeria hopes to reach rice mill deal with China by year-end

Nigeria hopes to reach a deal with China within weeks to set up 40 rice mills, its new agriculture minister said, as part of plans to eliminate the need for any imports of the grain within two years.
Audu Ogbeh said in his first interview since taking office last week that Africa's top oil exporter wants to boost production of tomatoes, soy beans, nuts and plant two million cocoa trees to reduce an annual food import bill of $20 billion and create jobs for its impoverished youth.
President Muhammadu Buhari, who took office in May on a campaign to usher in a new era for a country hit by corruption and mismanagement, wants to boost the agricultural sector and end reliance on oil exports after a plunge in crude prices.
That will be an uphill challenge as pot-holed roads hamper the transport of goods. Nigeria has tens of millions of farmers but the vast majority of them work on a subsistence basis and live on less than $2 a day.
As a first step, the new government hopes to reach by year end a deal with China to import equipment to build rice mills, Ogbeh said late on Thursday.
"The federal government plans 40 mills with the Chinese spread across the country, each capable of milling 100 tonnes per day," Ogbeh said.
He declined to give more details on the talks, which began under the previous administration led by President Jonathan. Chinese state media and a Nigerian government document obtained by Reuters have said the oil producer was talking to China's state Import and Export Bank.
CHALLENGES
Ogbeh said Nigeria wanted to be self-sufficient in wheat in three years, confirming a Reuters report earlier this month citing a confidential government paper.
He said Africa's biggest economy had a similar goal for cashew and cocoa, while the government also wanted to ramp up farming of soy beans, groundnuts, bananas and tomatoes within the next three years.
Nigeria produced 3 million tonnes of rice last year, along with 64,000 tonnes of wheat, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) figures show.
But it still needed to import 2.3 million tonnes of rice in 2012 -- a record high, according to the latest U.N. statistics which also show some 4.1 million tonnes of wheat was brought into Nigeria in the same year - nearly double the amount imported in 2000.

Ogbeh said he also had plans to improve Nigeria's position as the world's fourth largest cocoa producer by planting at least two million cocoa trees - in 27 of the country's 36 states - annually for the next three years. The minister said the same number of cashew trees will be planted over that period.

To attract more young people into farming, the new government plans to retain a policy it inherited, through which farmers could receive central bank loans at a rate of 9 percent, as opposed to borrowing from commercial banks at around 18 per cent.

The prospect of little financial reward has led to the average age of a Nigerian farmer rising to around 65, said Ogbeh, since many young people find the work unappealing.

He also said he was in talks with the minister of education to allocate at least an acre of land to each of some 12,000 students at the country's three agriculture universities during their studies to gain farming experience. (Writing by Alexis Akwagyiram; Editing by Ulf Laessing and William Hardy)

Nigerian interbank rate rises on drop in liquidity

Nigeria's interbank lending rate rose to 1 percent on secured lending on Friday from 0.5 percent previously, amid drop in banking system liquidity on the back of foreign exchange and treasury bills purchases, traders said.
Traders said the central bank has also failed to update data on commercial lenders cash balance since Monday, putting most dealers in the dark about the volume of liquidity available in the market to trade with.
Emefiele, CBN Boss

"We have cash outflows to forex purchases at the central bank intervention on Thursday and treasury bills purchased at the primary market, but lack of data on our cash balance has put some dealers in the dark on the level of liquidity in the market," one dealer said.
Traders said most of them traded based on the last update on cash balance, which was put at around 600 billion naira last Friday.
Nigeria sold 119.92 billion naira ($600 million) in Treasury bills with maturities from three months to a year at an auction this week, but traders said there was equivalent amount of in retired matured bills which upset the amount sold.
The secured open buy-back (OBB) - the rate at which lenders can borrow from the interbank market using treasury bills as collateral - rose to one percent from 0.5 percent last week, still far below the central bank's 13 percent benchmark interest rate.
Unsecured overnight placement traded at 1.5 percent against 1 percent last week.
"The market would take its cue from the outcome of MPC- Monetary policy Committee - meeting on Tuesday," another dealer said.
Traders said the rate-fixing MPC meeting, the last in the year may not effect any significant change in the present condition in respect of interest rate.

Why we kick against fixed FX exchange regime –NKC Africa

NIGERIA raised N120bn in Treasury bills at an auction held on Wednesday. Marginal rates continued to ease on the back of high system liquidity. We have been highly critical of the direction monetary policy in Nigeria has taken since the ousting of Mr Lamido Sanusi (former central bank governor), and recent conduct has done little to soothe our concerns.
One of our main critiques against the rigid exchange rate regime is the costs to growth as the private sector experiences difficulty obtaining hard currency under artificial liquidity conditions. The monetary regulator has conveyed a developmental mindset in recent months, and is presumably using de facto easing in financial conditions as an avenue to stimulate economic growth. Excess system liquidity partially attributable to large redemptions of open market operation instruments and a reduction in the cash reserve requirement have pressured the debt curve notable lower since September, and sent overnight rates plummeting.
Dollars

Emefile, CBN Boss

Presuming that the lack of liquidity absorption forms part of a monetary policy growth stimulus strategy, we view this as a further indicator that the central bank has every intention to maintain a rigid exchange rate regime. The central bank reportedly also plans on restricting dollar supply further in a bid to preserve the foreign buffer, limiting the amount of dollar available for purchase.
We are concerned that the staunch insistence by the regulator that the naira is “appropriately priced” implies that stringent restrictions on forex supply with regard to consumer trade goods will be tightened further in coming months, considering our global assumptions that the oil price will remain suppressed over the medium term. Besides deterring foreign direct investment and inward portfolio flows, tight forex liquidity conditions and the capital controls introduced to shield foreign reserves will increasingly filter through to the real side of the economy.
Stimulating domestic demand via cheap liquidity will in our view do little to support economic growth in the absence of an efficient trade channel. Suppressed crude oil prices will only allow for the adverse effects of the order-based system to intensify while the naira will become increasingly overvalued the longer the CBN persists with its current policy framework.
Dollar appreciation on a trade-weighted basis (as the US prepares to commence with interest rate normalisation) will exacerbate the degree of misalignment between the de facto peg and the market-clearance level, adding to deadweight loss. Growing discontent between factions within the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has seen numerous members publicly criticising the de facto forex controls, and warning of resultant skewed incentives and the legality of the imposed restrictions. While the MPC governor – and President Buhari – continue to argue against naira devaluation due to concerns regarding the resultant shock to inflation and political costs thereof, we think that the systemic starvation of forex liquidity, souring business sentiment and foreign factors have now greatly increased the risk of a disorderly devaluation.
While the de facto FX controls – rather than peg management via foreign reserves – could arguably buy Nigeria some time before capitulating to devaluation pressure, we tend to think pressure from foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade partners, rather than portfolio flows, could ultimately deal the death blow. High barriers to entry and a deteriorating investment climate, within an environment of lower for-longer commodity prices, could incentivise corporates to re-think medium-term strategies. We also argue that adverse domestic consequences of the stringent exchange rate regime may ultimately move the regulator’s hand (rather than external market perception) as domestic companies struggle to meet external debt obligations. Security Bids (Amount) Received N'bn Bids (Amount) Accepted N'bn Bid yield range at previous auction Bid yield range Previous Weighted Average Rate (WAR) Current Weighted.
We anticipate the central bank to shed some light on the direction of monetary policy at next week’s meeting and the regulator’s view on inflation dynamics going forward. We consider the (presumably) policy action of using de facto easing of financial conditions to stimulate growth as undermining the central bank’s objective of maintaining price stability. We remain unconvinced that growth in monetary aggregates will translate into robust economic growth in the absence of an efficient trade channel.

Adding to excess liquidity is however inflationary, adding to the upside risks to the inflation outlook along with higher electricity tariffs, higher fiscal spending, and higher consumer prices as product shortages weigh. The current fuel shortages being experienced in the country may also prove inflationary moving forward, not to mention the adverse impact on economic growth if shortages persist for as long as in Q2.

Nigeria central bank orders 3 banks to recapitalise by June

Nigeria's central bank has given three commercial banks until June 2016 to recapitalise after they failed to hit a minimum capital adequacy rate of 10 percent, it said in a report on its website.
The central bank did not name the banks but said they were from the group of 14 in Africa's biggest economy that have licenses to operate as regional and national lenders, with respective capital bases of 10 billion naira ($50 million) and 25 billion naira.
Emefiele, CBN boss

With a number of Nigerian banks having postponed moves to raise fresh funds, the central bank said it was monitoring the three lenders' recapitalisation plans, and that 10 others with international status met the 15 percent minimum capital rate for that category of bank at the end of June.
The recapitalisation schedule, contained in a report dated Oct. 30, only came to light on Friday.
Nigerian lenders have been shoring up their balance sheets in preparation for adopting stricter international requirements that analysts say could erode capital ratios by between 100 and 400 basis points to near the regulatory minimum of 15 percent.
Meanwhile, poor capital conditions at home due to slowing economic growth have weakened domestic markets, analysts say.
Last week, the central bank told commercial lenders to double provisions on performing loans to 2 percent to build adequate buffers against unexpected losses, as liquidity ratios fall.
It said lower revenues for government and oil companies due to plunging crude prices have led to unsecured exposures for banks that are likely to increase credit risk and loan losses.
Ratings agency Moody's said this week it expected non-performing loans (NPLs) to rise above 5 percent but remain below 10 percent over the next two years as the weaker naira increases the risk of dollar loans and suppresses bank capital.
NPLs in Nigeria's banking sector rose to 4.65 percent at the end of June due to a fall in asset quality following a devaluation of the naira and amid rising inflation, the central bank said in the report.
Stanbic IBTC  last week said it had doubled its non-performing loan ratio to 8.8 percent. The Nigerian unit of South Africa's Standard Bank <SBKJ.J>, was also planning to raise fresh funds.
Pan-African bank Ecobank and Nigeria's Skye Bank have both suspended plans to raise fresh equity owing to weak market conditions and slower loan growth.
Wema Bank, which suspended plans partly because of the naira weakness, said on Thursday it would resume a share sale next year and has started a process to raise $100 million worth of naira bonds after getting approval to switch from a regional to a national bank.

Thursday, 19 November 2015

Wema Bank to issue bonds, shares after getting national bank status


Image result for segun oloketuyi /picture
Oloketuyi
Nigeria's Wema Bank said on Thursday it would resume plans for a share sale to fund growth and has also started a process to raise $100 million worth of naira bonds after getting approval to switch from a regional to a national bank.
Wema Bank said in April it aimed to complete a $100 million seven-year dollar Tier 2 bond issue by the second quarter this year to fund its growing dollar loan book and also issue fresh equity of up to 40 billion naira ($201.03 million) by the fourth quarter.
But the bank had to suspend the plans partly because of a weakening in the naira <NGN=D1> in the domestic market due to the plunge in oil prices, chief finance officer Tunde Mabawonku, told Reuters.
Mabawonku said the bank would now raise the Tier 2 bond in the domestic market during the first quarter of next year.
"To ensure that this approval is leveraged appropriately, we are already in the process of raising $100m in Tier 2 capital and would commence a Tier 1 capital raise in 2016," Wema chief executive Segun Oloketuyi said in a statement.
The regional bank said on Thursday it received central bank approval this week to become a national bank after its capital base rose to 43.8 billion naira ($220 million) complying with capital requirements for this category.
In Nigeria, a regional bank can only operate within 6-12 of the country's states while national banks can operate in all 36 states. Regional banks require capital of 10 billion naira to operate compared with 25 billion naira for national banks.
In 2009, Wema Bank shrank its business to become a regional bank after the central bank made it recapitalise in the wake of a financial crisis that nearly sank the lender and eight others.
Four years on, Wema Bank has completed a 40 billion naira share placement to increase its capital base and it also began the process of securing a national license from the central bank.
Oloketuyi said the bank was on course with its turnaround and would select business locations across the country with a focus on areas where return on investment will be maximised.
Shares in Wema traded flat on Thursday giving it a market value of 37.1 billion naira.

IFC study examines reasons mobile money customers are often inactive

The International Finance Corporation (IFC), a member of the World Bank Group, on Thursday published a research study looking at why a large portion of registered users of digital financial services never or only rarely use the service.
The corporation said the phenomenon is observed in many emerging markets, posing a key challenge to the expansion of financial inclusion.
The study, The Mobile Banking Customer That Isn’t: Drivers of Digital Financial Services Inactivity in Côte d’Ivoire, is based on research in the largest digital financial services market in West Africa, and finds that almost half of all registered users of mobile money accounts in Cote d’Ivoire do not regularly use their accounts. ‘The reasons for this are several, including customers finding the service irrelevant or too costly,’ the IFC said.
David Crush, IFC Program Manager for the Partnership for Financial Inclusion, said, “Digital financial services have expanded rapidly in recent years, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, extending financial services to many rural and low-income communities that were previously excluded. The challenge now is to make sure products and services are improved to meet the specific needs of new customers.”
The research report was produced by the Partnership for Financial inclusion, a joint initiative of IFC and The MasterCard Foundation to expand microfinance and advance digital financial services in Sub-Saharan Africa in order to help achieve global Universal Financial Access by 2020.
Ann Miles, Director of Programs, Financial Inclusion & Youth Livelihoods at The MasterCard Foundation, said, “The research from Côte d’Ivoire is a wake-up call to all of us working to advance financial inclusion. More than ever, digital financial service providers need to understand early and often what it is that low-income clients need and expect in a mobile money account, and then offer that product or service affordably and
conveniently.”
The report makes a number of recommendations based on the research findings, including the need to keep prices of digital financial services low, offer a broad range of products and services that cater to customers with irregular incomes, and to ensure good customer education.

Nigeria sells 120 bln naira in T-bills at lower yields

Nigeria sold 119.92 billion naira ($600 million) in Treasury bills with maturities from three months to a year at an auction on Wednesday, with yields further slashed compared with returns at the previous auctions, the central bank said on Thursday.
Emefiele, CBN boss
The result of the auction showed that the bank sold 32.43 billion naira worth of three-month paper at 5.34 percent compared with 5.82 percent at the Nov. 4 auction.
It also sold 22.82 billion naira worth of six-month debt at 7.2 percent against 7.98 percent previously, and 64.67 billion naira of one-year paper sold at 8.5 percent, down from 9.48 percent, the auction results showed.
Total demand for the paper also dropped to 301.04 billion naira compared with 535.86 billion demanded by investors at the last auction.
Trader said the drop in yields was a reflection of trends in the secondary market, where yields have fallen to 1.94 percent, 6.16 percent and 6.93 percent for three-month, six-month and one-year debt each.

Nigeria's oil output could fall by 2017 unless investments boosted-Moody

Nigeria's oil output could drop by as much as 15 percent by 2017 unless the government attracts more investment and resolves cash shortages at state oil firms, a senior Moody's analyst said on Wednesday.
Africa's biggest economy produces about 2.1 million barrels per day of oil with foreign and local companies through production sharing contracts and joint ventures.
President Buhari

But projects have been held up because state-oil firm NNPC needs parliamentary and regulatory approval to spend anything. Officials and lawmakers are often six months late in giving their assent, making proposals irrelevant as costs exceed the original budgets. As a result, unpaid bills have been piling up.
"By 2017, if there's no more investments oil production will drop by 15 percent affecting jointly the government revenues," said Aurelien Mali, senior analytical adviser, Africa, at ratings agency Moody's.
"So the cash call funding issues for the joint ventures and the long term funding to drive the deep offshore fields is something that will have to be addressed to maintain at least the production levels of 2.1 million," he told Reuters in Lagos.
President Muhammadu Buhari took office in May pledging to reform the oil sector and end corruption and mismanagement. He appointed former Exxon executive Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu to head the NNPC and later asked him to join his cabinet as minister of state for petroleum. Buhari retained the oil portfolio for himself.
Buhari has taken his first steps towards overhauling the state oil firm by giving its exploration joint ventures control over their own budgets as a way to overcome cash shortages.
Nigeria's economy has taken a hammering from a plunge in vital oil revenues, weakening the naira currency and slashing growth.

Wednesday, 18 November 2015

Nigeria economy expands as oil output grows

Nigeria’s economy, the largest in Africa, expanded at a slightly faster pace in the third quarter as oil production increased, latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed.
Barrel of oil
The nation Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 2.8 percent from a year ago, compared with 2.4 percent in the second quarter and 6.2 percent in the same period of 2014, the NBS data showed. It said oil output jumped to 2.17 million barrels a day from 2.05 million barrels.
Nigeria, Africa’s biggest oil producer, is struggling to cope with an almost 60 percent plunge in crude prices since June last year. Economic growth is set to slow to 3.9 percent this year from 6.3 percent in 2014, according to the median estimate of 10 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
The oil industry rose 1.1 percent in the three months to the end of September, after contracting 6.8 percent in the previous quarter, the statistics agency said. The non-oil industry, which makes up 90 percent of GDP, increased 3.1 percent in the third quarter, down from 7.5 percent a year earlier. Manufacturing fell 1.8 percent, the third consecutive quarterly contraction.

Ford's Nigerian plant turns out first vehicle

Ford Motor Co's new Nigerian assembly plant has built its first model and will produce an initial 10 vehicles a day for the domestic market, the U.S.-based carmaker said on Tuesday.
Image result for ford motors plants /picture
One of Ford Motors plants

The company said in August it would start the assembly of its best-selling Ford Ranger pickup trucks in Nigeria, as it expands in Africa and the Middle East.
The auto market in Africa's biggest economy has huge potential but only a small number of new vehicles are sold annually. The sector is dominated by imported used vehicles and the absence of an industrial policy that would encourage suppliers to set up in Nigeria has stunted growth.
"Africa is one of the youngest markets in the world and presents a huge opportunity in terms of consumption," Jeff Nemeth, Ford's sub-Sahara chief executive, said in a statement.
The Nigerian assembly plant, set up in partnership with Ford dealer Coscharis Motors Ltd, is the first in Africa outside South Africa, where Ford produces the Ranger for 148 markets.
"The facility will accommodate one shift and will produce an initial 10 units per day for the Nigerian market, creating approximately 180 direct and indirect jobs," Nemeth said.
The Ikeja plant near Lagos will assemble the Ford Ranger using parts and components imported from South Africa. It will have the capacity to assemble up to 5,000 vehicles annually, which will be sold in Nigeria.
Ford produces 85,000 vehicles in South Africa each year, which are sold in 24 African countries.
*Reuters

Tuesday, 17 November 2015

Nigeria finalises fourth-quarter gasoline allocations as fuel queues return

Nigeria has issued its final allocations for subsidised gasoline imports for the fourth quarter at 1.41 million tonnes, traders and a senior source at the state-run fuel supply regulator said on Tuesday.
The West African nation imports the bulk of its gasoline requirement because of its dilapidated refining system, which President Muhammadu Buhari is keen to revive, though delayed subsidy payments and the low availability of dollars in the economy has made it increasingly difficult for importers to meet the country's needs, creating a shortage.
Nigerians have also started panic-buying, forming long queues at petrol stations for the first time since Buhari took power in May.
A severe fuel crisis had crippled the country in May because of a stand-off between marketers and his outgoing administration over whether their debts would be honoured.
The Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPPRA) looks after the fuel imports that are subsidised -- about half of the total -- and allocates its gasoline requirements quarterly to a number of importers.
The number of importers was 37 in the third quarter, but the PPPRA source said that the list was trimmed to between 20 and 30, while traders put the number at about 21.
Africa's biggest oil producer has been hit hard by the more than halving of global crude prices, which forced the central bank to introduce some foreign exchange restrictions in June to stop its currency from crashing. Even though oil is not a restricted item, dollar availability remains low.
Two weeks ago Nigeria's new government approved payment of 413 billion naira ($2 billion) in subsidies, some still dating from 2014, but funds have yet to be transferred because they have yet to signed off by the national assembly.
Importers have not been paid their subsidy since the change of government and the delay has worsened the financial crunch for importers.
Oil traders said the import allocations from the second and third quarters went only half to 60 percent fulfilled because of the finance problems.
A total of 2.97 million tonnes of gasoline was slated for import into Nigeria for the fourth quarter through the subsidy scheme and state oil company NNPC. About 1.6 million tonnes will be brought in via NNPC through offshore processing agreements, a type of crude-for-product swap.
The total volume of gasoline is lower than in the past at around 3.7 million tonnes but should more than cover domestic demand with 42.5 million litres a day, the PPPRA source added.