- Nigerian election came close to unravelling
- Plotters wanted to abduct election commissioner
- Aide alerted election monitors via text message
- Disruption could have ignited widespread violence
As Muhammadu Buhari closed in on
Nigeria's presidency, an aide to election commission chairman
Attahiru Jega sent a text message to an independent voting
monitor, warning of an imminent threat to the electoral process.
The aide had unearthed a plot by supporters of President
Goodluck Jonathan to disrupt the public announcement of the
national election results and kidnap Jega in a bid to wreck the
count, according to pro-democracy advocates and a Nigeria-based
diplomat.
Central to the plan, the said, were Jega's security detail
and Godsday Orubebe, a former cabinet minister from Jonathan's
Niger Delta, an area whose leaders feared a change of power
would mean an end to the perks it enjoyed under Jonathan's
presidency.
Orubebe's role was to cause a disturbance at the
headquarters of the commission as cover for the abduction of
Jega. Orubebe did not respond to requests for comment on the
details of the plot.
The commission, called INEC, also declined to comment and
turned down requests for an interview with Jega, whom Reuters
was unable to reach independently. Reuters found no evidence to
suggest that Jonathan, who conceded defeat in the election, was
involved. His spokesman and his party, the PDP, did not respond
to requests for comment.
While the plot would likely not have changed the result, it
could have unleashed fury among Buhari supporters in the north,
where 800 people were killed in rioting after his last election
defeat in 2011.
But the plot's failure enabled Africa's most populous
country to complete its first credible vote since independence
in 1960.
"NIGERIA ON TRIAL"
The plot to derail the election in its closing moments was
pieced together by Reuters from the text message, events on the
ground and interviews with democracy advocates and diplomats in
the capital, Abuja.
When he sent the SMS, the election official, whom the
sources declined to name for his own protection, hoped the
outside world would hear of the plot, the text of the message
made clear.
"Fellow countrymen, Nigeria on Trial," read the SMS sent on
the morning of March 31 to Clement Nwankwo, head of the
Situation Room, an Abuja-based coalition of human rights groups
and democracy advocates monitoring the polls. Reuters later saw
the SMS.
"Plans are on storm [sic] the podium at the ICC Collation
Centre and disrupt the process," it continued, the official
dropping words and letters in his haste.
"Nobody is sue [sic] what will happen. Please share this as
widely as possible."
At that moment, INEC chairman Jega was about to preside over
the announcement of results.
TALLY COUNT
Since the end of army rule in 1999, all four previous votes
had been marred by violence and ballot-rigging.
The 2015 poll was different in two crucial aspects.
It was a genuine race, pitting Jonathan, saddled with an
ailing economy and an Islamist insurgency, against a former
general promising to get tough on corruption and the Boko Haram
insurgents.
Voters had also been given biometric ID cards linked to
their photographs and fingerprints, making it hard to inflate
voter numbers significantly.
As tallies from around the country showed Buhari on course
for a win, unidentified PDP hard-liners started to panic,
seeking ways of manipulating the count, Nwankwo and the diplomat
said, citing political contacts in the Delta and Abuja.
Realising they could not engineer an outright win, PDP
agents set about doctoring the tally at collation centres in
pro-Jonathan areas to ensure Buhari failed to meet a requirement
for 25 percent support in two thirds of states, Nwankwo said,
citing reports from election monitors on the ground.
A Reuters reporter witnessed and photographed one tally list
in Port Harcourt with suspiciously similar totals for registered
voters at polling stations: 500, 500, 500, 500, 500, 500, 500,
500, 450. In another tally centre in the city, 17,594 valid
votes were recorded out of a registered voter population of
11,757, the Reuters reporter said.
Foreign election observers also noted the peculiarities -
and contacted diplomats in Abuja who called in international
intervention.
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and his British
counterpart Philip Hammond - in Switzerland for talks on Iran -
issued a tough statement saying vote counting "may be subject to
deliberate political interference".
"CREATE A FRACAS"
But as Buhari's lead grew, some PDP supporters from the
Delta, including Orubebe, decided on a final gamble: to create a
disturbance in the main INEC hall and have thugs snatch Jega
from the stage, according to Nwankwo and the Abuja-based
diplomat.
What the group planned to do after the abduction is unclear,
the diplomat and Nwankwo said, but the confusion could have
triggered nationwide violence.
"It was a desperate thing, mostly by a group of people from
the Niger Delta who were in the room," Nwankwo said, describing
events that unfolded publicly in the minutes after he received
the SMS.
When Jega opened proceedings on the morning of March 31,
Orubebe, the former Niger Delta minister, grabbed a microphone
and launched into an 11-minute tirade accusing Jega of bias.
"Mr. Chairman, we have lost confidence in you," he shouted,
pushing away officials trying to make him surrender the
microphone. "You are being very, very selective. You are
partial," he continued, surrounded by three or four supporters.
"You are tribalistic. We cannot take it."
Nigerians watched, aghast, on live television.
Meanwhile, Jega's security detail was approached by
unidentified individuals telling them to stand down, according
to Nwankwo and the diplomat.
But the bodyguards refused.
"Some of the guards who had been guarding Jega for years
demanded a written order," Nwankwo said. "But it didn't exist."
Jega then rebuked Orubebe: "Let us not disrupt a process
that has ended peacefully," he said as Orubebe slumped in his
chair.
"Mr. Orubebe, you are a former minister of the Federal
Republic. You are a statesman in your own right. You should be
careful about what you say or about what allegations you make,"
he said.
Later, Orubebe congratulated Buhari on Twitter, expressing
his "apologies to fellow Nigerians".